Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
