SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
42.4% ( -2.31) | 25.38% ( 0.43) | 32.22% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( -1.14) | 48.21% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -1.05) | 70.36% ( 1.05) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( -1.55) | 22.65% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( -2.36) | 56.28% ( 2.36) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( 0.68) | 28.3% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% ( 0.85) | 64.03% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
