Despite being edged out by Reading in midweek, Stevenage will fancy their chances of claiming all three points after winning their last two away matches.
We think that the visitors will ultimately prove too strong for a Port Vale side who have lost four of their previous five games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
0.69) 
-0.73) 
