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League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
LO

Port Vale
0 - 1
Leyton Orient

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Mizouni (60')
Brown (16'), Archibald (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient have been in fine form in recent times, and after winning five of their last seven matches, we think that the confident visitors will do enough to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.

Result
Port ValeDrawLeyton Orient
33.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.8% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.81% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.98%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 33.93%
    Leyton Orient 40.47%
    Draw 25.59%
Port ValeDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Port Vale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wycombe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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