Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
