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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
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Sunderland
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Embleton (40')
Flanagan (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romeo (72'), Williams (75')

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Portsmouth

In a clash that could define who secures promotion and who misses out come the end of the season, both sides will be hopeful of three points. Sunderland boast home advantage, along with the superior league position, making the Black Cats the most likely winners for this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawPortsmouth
52.43%24.2%23.37%
Both teams to score 52.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11%48.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02%70.98%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39%18.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09%49.9%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.17%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.42%
    Portsmouth 23.37%
    Draw 24.2%
SunderlandDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.37%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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