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League One | Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
MD

Burton Albion
0 - 1
MK Dons


Hughes (74'), Moult (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Twine (90+5')

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 MK Dons

Neither side can really afford many more slip-ups if they are to achieve their respective ambitions for the campaign. However, the form book weighs in on MK Dons' favour, with Manning's men likely to pick up another win over Burton this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
37.04%25.38%37.59%
Both teams to score 56.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61%47.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39%69.61%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26%24.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7%59.3%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.04%
    MK Dons 37.59%
    Draw 25.38%
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 0.98%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.59%

Read more!
Read more!


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