Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
