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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
ML

Cambridge
1 - 0
Millwall

O'Neil (59')
Janneh (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Honeyman (31')
Honeyman (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Millwall

With both managers likely to rotate as they prioritise their league campaigns, we expect to see a fairly even cup tie. As such, it would be no surprise to see penalties decide the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawMillwall
31.87% (2.179 2.18) 25.16% (0.477 0.48) 42.97% (-2.656 -2.66)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (-1.15 -1.15)47.37% (1.15 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (-1.075 -1.08)69.59% (1.076 1.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.883 0.88)28.12% (-0.883 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (1.108 1.11)63.79% (-1.108 -1.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-1.677 -1.68)22.02% (1.678 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (-2.607 -2.61)55.34% (2.607 2.61)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.87%
    Millwall 42.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Cambridge UnitedDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.553 0.55)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.344 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.464 0.46)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.242 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.395 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Hull City
Saturday, July 23 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cambridge 1-3 Norwich
Tuesday, July 19 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 3-2 Cambridge
Saturday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cambridge
Saturday, July 2 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Millwall
Friday, July 15 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dartford 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 5-4 Millwall
Saturday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship


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