SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | MK Dons | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Oxford United | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
60.03% ( 0.12) | 21.87% ( 0.45) | 18.1% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -2.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( -2.88) | 45.64% ( 2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -2.8) | 67.96% ( 2.8) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( -0.91) | 14.78% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% ( -1.77) | 43.04% ( 1.77) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -2.34) | 38.93% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( -2.28) | 75.66% ( 2.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.98) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.61)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.03% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.86% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.1% |
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