Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.