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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
LC

Portsmouth
3 - 2
Lincoln

Hirst (50' pen.), Jacobs (68'), Curtis (82')
Thompson (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bishop (70'), House (78')
Jackson (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln City

Pompey should be filled with confidence from their thrashing of Rotherham at the weekend, and we see them making it back-to-back wins. With the advantage of a home Fratton Park crowd, Cowley's men should outclass a Lincoln side lacking any consistency. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawLincoln City
49.85%24.98%25.16%
Both teams to score 52.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73%20.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38%52.62%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28%34.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55%71.45%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 49.85%
    Lincoln City 25.16%
    Draw 24.98%
PortsmouthDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, April 5 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Wycombe
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Wigan
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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