Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.