Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
