A tight battle at the top of League One, with its result likely to have huge implications on the race for a playoff spot. Portsmouth have enjoyed the upper-hand over Argyle of late, but it is likely that this one will end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Portsmouth
41.45%	26.1%	32.45%

Both teams to score 53.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.8%

51.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.96%

73.04%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14%

58.86%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.68%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 41.45%

Portsmouth 32.45%

Draw 26.09%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.45%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.45%