Northampton
2 - 1
Swindon

Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Swindon Town
38.41%	26.36%	35.22%

Both teams to score 52.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.19%

51.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43%

73.57%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68%

26.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55%

61.45%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82%

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13%

63.87%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 38.41%

Swindon Town 35.22%

Draw 26.35%

Northampton Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.41%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.22%