With the Cobblers struggling with injuries, they could probably do without an away game against the current league leaders.
While they may have lost just one of their last five away league matches, Northampton have succumbed in each of their previous four away meetings with Portsmouth, and we think that run will continue with a defeat on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-0.78) 
0.86) 
