SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
44.05% ( -0.09) | 25.28% ( 0.01) | 30.67% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% | 48.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( 0) | 70.51% ( 0) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( -0.04) | 21.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( -0.06) | 55.22% ( 0.07) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.06) | 29.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( 0.07) | 65.41% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.67% |
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