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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
CA

Northampton
0 - 5
Charlton


McGeehan (36'), T (73')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Docherty (9', 68'), Campbell (13'), Leaburn (37'), Hylton (90+1')
Docherty (41'), Mitchell (50'), Maynard-Brewer (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Mansfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Charlton Athletic

Neither side are in the best form at the moment, but Charlton's superior defence may make it difficult for the Cobblers to create chances. Additionally, given the nature of the hosts' back-to-back losses going into this weekend's clash, it is difficult to see anything other than another defeat for Northampton on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
28.82% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 25.36% (0.004999999999999 0) 45.82% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)49.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (0.012 0.01)71.62% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.057000000000002 0.06)31.35% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.067 0.07)67.71% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)21.65% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 28.82%
    Charlton Athletic 45.81%
    Draw 25.35%
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 3-0 Northampton
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Mansfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 0-4 Charlton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One


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