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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 2pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
CT

Gillingham
1 - 1
Cheltenham

Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
35.64%26.16%38.2%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09%50.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21%72.78%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%62.99%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97%26.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94%61.05%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 35.64%
    Cheltenham Town 38.2%
    Draw 26.15%
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.64%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.2%


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