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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
R

Sheff Weds
3 - 0
Rochdale

Brown (23'), Dele-Bashiru (36'), Adeniran (44')
Glover (57'), Vaulks (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Seriki (66'), Rodney (80')

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Rochdale

Rochdale have endured a horrid start to the new season and are yet to pick up any points from their opening five league games. In stark contrast, Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in five of their six games this season, picking up four wins in that time. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing the Owls to come away with a comfortable victory on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 12.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawRochdale
68.27% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 19.67%12.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 44.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)48.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.3% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.1% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)83.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 68.26%
    Rochdale 12.05%
    Draw 19.67%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawRochdale
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 68.26%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.57%
1-2 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 12.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Sunderland
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Crewe
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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