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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
S

Sheff Weds
2 - 0
Sunderland

Adeniran (16'), Sow (56')
Bakinson (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (11')

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Sunderland

Despite the difference in leagues, we would go as far as saying that these two teams are relatively evenly-matched. With both also in form, it should make for an entertaining spectacle, one that we feel Sunderland will win by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawSunderland
45.37% (0.256 0.26) 25.6% (0.31 0.31) 29.03% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-1.333 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5% (-1.582 -1.58)50.5% (1.583 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-1.417 -1.42)72.42% (1.417 1.42)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)22.23% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (-0.833 -0.83)55.66% (0.834 0.83)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-1.222 -1.22)31.66% (1.223 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-1.429 -1.43)68.08% (1.431 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 45.37%
    Sunderland 29.03%
    Draw 25.6%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.246 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.37%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.439 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.245 0.24)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 4-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, July 15 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, May 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Sunderland
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Coventry
Sunday, July 31 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-2 Sunderland
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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