Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
