We said: Rochdale 1-3 Plymouth Argyle
Given their respective form, Rochdale will have high hopes of causing a surprise on Sunday afternoon. However, despite their recent losing streak, we cannot back against Plymouth, who should have enough firepower in the final third to edge this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.