Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
