SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 40.49% | 28.98% | 30.52% |
| Both teams to score 44.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.59% | 62.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% | 82.04% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% | 30.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.61% | 66.39% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.15% | 36.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.36% | 73.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 7.96% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 0.95% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.39% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.52% |
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