Peterborough have a terrible recent record away at Shrewsbury, and they struggled to create much of anything last time out against Oxford, so we expect them to draw for the second game on the spin.
The Shrews will be looking to bounce back from a very disappointing 6-0 defeat against Charlton last weekend, and for the most part they have been a much better side at home, going unbeaten at Montgomery Waters Meadow since New Year's Day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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