Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
