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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
LNER Stadium
PU

Lincoln
0 - 3
Peterborough


Kennedy (0'), Mandroiu (22'), O'Connor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Ferguson (23'), Burrows (52'), Norburn (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-3 Peterborough United

It is crunch time for Peterborough in their push for the playoff places, and we back them to secure a victory on Saturday, given that Lincoln have very little to play for at this point. The Posh have been in fine form in front of goal in recent weeks, and it will be no surprise if Clarke-Harris is again on the scoresheet, in a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
29.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 27.29%43.04% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)77.73% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.023 -0.02)71.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 29.67%
    Peterborough United 43.04%
    Draw 27.28%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Charlton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-2 Plymouth
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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