Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
