Stevenage have won three of their last four matches at the Lamex Stadium, and we think they will make full use of home advantage again to claim a narrow victory over a Burton side that are low on confidence following an eight-game winless run.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.49%).
0.09) 
-0.1) 
