With this the start of yet another new era for Burton, Bowyer will be eager to make an immediate impact. However, regardless of their own poor form, we feel that the visitors to the Pirelli Stadium have the qualities to edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
-0.19) 
0.22) 
