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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
The County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Darlington

Pitman (41')
Grounds (51'), Iandolo (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (30', 60')
Hedley (45+6'), Hunt (82')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Darlington.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawDarlington
56.54%21.72%21.74%
Both teams to score 58.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85%62.15%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06%13.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6%41.4%
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.27%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.54%
    Darlington 21.74%
    Draw 21.71%
Swindon TownDrawDarlington
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.19%
4-0 @ 2.79%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.26%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-1 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 21.74%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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