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League One | Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
AW

Swindon
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon


Stevens (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
51.63%24.84%23.52%
Both teams to score 50.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.67%51.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85%73.15%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02%51.97%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37%36.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59%73.41%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.62%
    AFC Wimbledon 23.52%
    Draw 24.84%
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 9.5%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.62%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.52%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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