Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
