SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 21.17% | 24.65% | 54.18% |
| Both teams to score 48.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% | 52.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% | 74.53% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.53% | 76.47% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% | 19.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.66% | 51.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 12.68% 0-2 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.17% |
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