Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
