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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
WL

Crewe
2 - 0
Wigan

Finney (14'), Smith (60' og.)
Griffiths (37'), Mandron (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (43'), Pearce (73'), Kerr (89')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wigan Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWigan Athletic
27.14%24.6%48.26%
Both teams to score 55.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59%47.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37%69.63%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53%31.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 27.14%
    Wigan Athletic 48.25%
    Draw 24.59%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.14%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.14%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.18%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.8%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.25%

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