Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.