MX23RW : Sunday, September 15 13:21:30
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Sunday, September 15
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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
The DW Stadium
M

Wigan
1 - 2
Morecambe

Hugill (63' pen.)
McHugh (80'), Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macadam (12'), Angol (65')
Angol (42'), Macadam (66'), Tollitt (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Newport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-0 Morecambe

Confidence reserves are hardly high in either camp right now, and even though Morecambe's overall display against Newport County was admirable, their clinical edge is still eluding them. Wigan are hardly pulling up trees in the final third either, but with a tad more quality in the Latics' ranks, Maloney's men may need just the one goal to get off to a winning start in the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMorecambe
53.33% (0.292 0.29) 24.48% (-0.213 -0.21) 22.19% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.28% (0.529 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.753 0.75)51.2% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.656 0.66)73.04% (-0.657 -0.66)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.404 0.4)19.14% (-0.408 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (0.668 0.67)50.79% (-0.67 -0.67)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.343 0.34)37.81% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (0.334 0.33)74.59% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 53.32%
    Morecambe 22.19%
    Draw 24.47%
Wigan AthleticDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.32%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Barnsley (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Newport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Huddersfield 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Morecambe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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