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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.87% ( 1.52) | 24.05% ( 0.09) | 46.08% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.71% ( 0.5) | 43.28% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( 0.49) | 65.68% ( -0.49) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( 1.3) | 27.4% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( 1.65) | 62.88% ( -1.65) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -0.45) | 18.96% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( -0.76) | 50.49% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.08% |
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