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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
PU

Gillingham
1 - 2
Peterborough

Nevitt (90+3')
Dack (44'), Ehmer (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jade-Jones (12'), Ihionvien (75')
Dornelly (44')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Gillingham and Peterborough United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawPeterborough United
27.71% (-0.62 -0.62) 24.58% (-0.211 -0.21) 47.71% (0.83300000000001 0.83)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (0.52800000000001 0.53)46.94% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (0.491 0.49)69.19% (-0.488 -0.49)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.188 -0.19)30.79% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.221 -0.22)67.06% (0.223 0.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (0.565 0.56)19.74% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (0.908 0.91)51.77% (-0.905 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 27.71%
    Peterborough United 47.71%
    Draw 24.57%
GillinghamDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 6.84% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 8% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 3% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.086 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swansea 3-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 4-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 3 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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