Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
-0.62) 
0.83) 
