SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sutton United |
74.11% ( -0.38) | 15.79% ( 0.39) | 10.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.27% ( -2.09) | 35.73% ( 2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.2% ( -2.34) | 57.79% ( 2.33) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.77% ( -0.58) | 8.23% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.22% ( -1.46) | 28.78% ( 1.45) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.65% ( -1.49) | 44.34% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.59% ( -1.24) | 80.4% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.18)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.8% Total : 74.11% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.37)Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.79% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.1% |
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