SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
32.93% ( 0.07) | 22.99% ( 0.08) | 44.09% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.28% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.2% ( -0.35) | 36.8% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.38) | 58.97% ( 0.38) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.12) | 22.38% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.19) | 55.89% ( 0.19) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( -0.19) | 17.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.54% ( -0.35) | 47.46% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 44.09% |
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