Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
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