SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
46.9% ( 0.05) | 23.34% ( 0.01) | 29.75% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.09) | 40.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( -0.09) | 62.41% ( 0.1) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.01) | 17.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.24% ( -0.02) | 47.76% ( 0.03) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.08) | 25.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.11) | 60.83% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.75% |
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