Carlisle
1 - 2
Doncaster

Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Whiteman (32', 40')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
29.28%	24.35%	46.37%

Both teams to score 57.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05%

44.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7%

67.3%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36%

28.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55%

64.45%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49%

19.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61%

51.39%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 29.28%

Doncaster Rovers 46.37%

Draw 24.34%

Carlisle United	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.14% 1-0 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.28%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 9.33% 0-1 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.37%