Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
