Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.