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League Two | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 at 1pm UK
St. James' Park
BC

Exeter
3 - 2
Bradford

Sweeney (42'), Bowman (61'), Jay (79' pen.)
Sweeney (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vernam (17'), Crankshaw (45')
Watt (12'), Hornby (78'), O'Connor (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Bradford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBradford City
48.56%25.64%25.79%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35%52.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7%74.3%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.55%
    Bradford City 25.79%
    Draw 25.64%
Exeter CityDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 48.55%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.79%

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