Carlisle United and Bradford City have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks and will head into Monday's game in search of a pick-me-up. Both sides are currently evenly-matched on paper and we predict that they will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
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