Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.09) 
