Doncaster Rovers may have fancied their chances of making it four wins in seven against a Mansfield team on a four-game winless run, but a second-successive stalemate for Town would at least keep them ticking over.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
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